By Aaron Giron, Investment Analyst at CommercialGRP
Industrial real estate can look straightforward from the outside: a building, a tenant, a lease, and a price. But evaluating whether a property represents a compelling opportunity requires looking much deeper.
Behind every acquisition decision is a collection of numbers that help tell the story of the asset.
As an Investment Analyst at CommercialGRP, I spend a significant amount of time analyzing property information and market data. One of the most important parts of that process is knowing which metrics deserve attention—and, just as importantly, understanding what those metrics do not tell us on their own.
For investors evaluating industrial properties, particularly assets in the 50,000–120,000 square foot range, five metrics provide a useful starting point: Net Operating Income, capitalization rate, occupancy, rent growth, and price per square foot.
None should be viewed in isolation. The real insight comes from connecting the numbers.
Net Operating Income, or NOI, is one of the fundamental measurements used to evaluate an income-producing property.
At a simplified level:
NOI = Property Revenue − Operating Expenses
Revenue may include rental income and certain reimbursements, while operating expenses can include property taxes, insurance, maintenance, management, utilities, and other property-level costs.
Why does NOI matter?
Because it provides a clearer picture of the property’s operating performance before considering financing, income taxes, depreciation, or other items outside property operations.
But the number itself is only the beginning.
An investor should also ask:
This is where attention to detail becomes important. A strong analysis does not simply copy the NOI from an offering memorandum. It examines how that NOI was generated and whether the underlying assumptions make sense.
Our approach to acquisition analysis is discussed further in “What We Look for in Every Industrial Acquisition Opportunity.”
The capitalization rate, or cap rate, is another widely used metric in commercial real estate.
The basic formula is:
Cap Rate = NOI ÷ Property Value
For example, if a property generates $500,000 in NOI and is valued at $10 million, the implied cap rate would be 5%.
The calculation is simple. The interpretation is not.
Cap rates can vary based on property quality, location, tenant strength, lease structure, market conditions, building characteristics, and perceived risk.
A higher cap rate should not automatically be interpreted as a better opportunity. It may reflect additional risk or uncertainty.
Likewise, a lower cap rate does not automatically mean a property is unattractive. Investors may accept a lower initial yield when an asset has particularly strong fundamentals or other characteristics they value.
The important question is not simply, “What is the cap rate?”
It is:
“What does the cap rate tell us about the relationship between the property’s income, price, and risk?”
That distinction is important when comparing industrial assets across different markets.
Occupancy is one of the easiest metrics to understand, but it can be surprisingly easy to misinterpret.
A property with 100% occupancy may initially appear stronger than one that is 85% occupied. But the percentage alone does not tell the entire story.
Investors should consider:
A partially vacant property may have challenges—but it may also have characteristics that create a potential repositioning opportunity.
Conversely, a fully occupied property may still require careful evaluation if leases are significantly below market, expirations are concentrated, or major capital expenditures are approaching.
This is why we look at occupancy as part of a larger tenant and lease analysis rather than treating it as a standalone measure.
The goal is to understand the quality and durability of the income, not simply the percentage of space currently occupied.
Rent growth helps investors understand how rental rates are changing over time within a particular market or property.
It can provide insight into supply and demand, tenant competition, market strength, and the potential for future revenue changes.
However, rent growth should always be examined in context.
For example, asking rents in a market may be increasing while an individual property’s leases remain locked in for several years. In that situation, current property income may not immediately reflect broader market conditions.
The opposite can also occur. A property’s existing rents may appear strong compared with today’s market, potentially limiting future upside when leases expire.
This is why I believe market data becomes most useful when it is connected to property-level information.
We are not simply asking, “Are rents increasing?”
We are asking:
“How does this property’s rent position compare with the market, and what could that mean when existing leases change?”
That distinction helps turn raw market data into something investors can actually use in their analysis.
Price per square foot is one of the most useful metrics for comparing industrial properties of different sizes.
The calculation is straightforward:
Price Per Square Foot = Purchase Price ÷ Building Square Footage
If a 100,000-square-foot industrial property sells for $10 million, the price is $100 per square foot.
This metric can provide a helpful comparison point across properties, but it should never be used as a substitute for a full valuation analysis.
Two buildings with the same square footage can have dramatically different values based on:
For example, two 80,000-square-foot buildings may have identical asking prices per square foot while offering very different income profiles and future requirements.
The metric becomes more meaningful when it is paired with the property’s income, physical characteristics, and comparable transactions.
Each of these five metrics tells us something different.
NOI helps us understand operating income.
Cap rate connects income to value.
Occupancy provides insight into current utilization and tenant stability.
Rent growth helps us understand market direction and potential changes in revenue.
Price per square foot gives us a useful comparison point for property values.
But the most important part of analysis happens when these metrics are viewed together.
Imagine an industrial property with strong occupancy but below-market rents. That tells a different story from a property with high rents but significant upcoming lease expirations.
Likewise, a property with a higher cap rate may look attractive until we understand why the market is pricing it that way.
This is why our investment process emphasizes precision, consistency, and transparency. Data is valuable only when it is accurate, properly interpreted, and connected to the larger picture.
At CommercialGRP, our goal is not simply to collect numbers. It is to understand what those numbers are telling us about a property and its surrounding market.
That requires being motivated and committed to thorough research, self-reliant and detail-oriented when reviewing information, and transparent about both opportunities and uncertainties.
It also requires communication.
A spreadsheet may contain hundreds of data points, but investors and partners need to understand what actually matters. Translating complex analysis into clear insights is an important part of our role.
This approach is especially relevant when evaluating industrial properties in the 50,000–120,000 square foot range and select retail opportunities. We look beyond individual metrics to understand how an asset fits within its market, its tenant base, and its potential role in a broader value-creation strategy.
Our “Property Due Diligence Process: Pre-LOI Checklist for Investors” provides another look at the questions that should be considered before moving forward with an opportunity.
Metrics are tools. They are not answers by themselves.
The strongest analysis combines property-level data, market research, physical characteristics, tenant information, lease terms, and broader economic conditions to build a more complete picture of an opportunity.
For me, that is what makes the analytical side of commercial real estate so interesting. A number on a spreadsheet is only the starting point. The real work is connecting that number to the story behind the property.
At CommercialGRP, we believe honesty and integrity mean presenting that story clearly—including the strengths, the risks, and the questions that still need to be answered.
If you are an investor evaluating an industrial or retail opportunity, or a broker with a property that fits our 50,000–120,000 SF industrial focus, I’d welcome the opportunity to connect. We’re always interested in understanding new opportunities, reviewing the data behind them, and building relationships with professionals who value thoughtful analysis and transparent communication.
Ultimately, better decisions begin with better questions—and better questions begin with understanding the numbers.
This article is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered legal, tax, financial, or investment advice. Investors should consult qualified professionals regarding their individual circumstances.